Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.245104 0.291981 0.344531 0.407679 0.481371 0.564513 0.665286
2025-02-16 0.171591 0.230535 0.304049 0.401930 0.528231 0.685042 0.893730
2025-02-23 0.128277 0.188762 0.270474 0.387837 0.550775 0.767458 1.075579
2025-03-02 0.098404 0.156507 0.240501 0.369057 0.558689 0.825478 1.225812
2025-03-09 0.084635 0.143824 0.234437 0.380713 0.607629 0.942013 1.466313
2025-03-16 0.068515 0.124074 0.213913 0.366441 0.614505 0.996168 1.619415
2025-03-23 0.060232 0.115388 0.208970 0.375004 0.656318 1.105502 1.864939
2025-03-30 0.053119 0.107317 0.203529 0.381389 0.694398 1.211574 2.114248
2025-04-06 0.045690 0.097260 0.192950 0.377054 0.713144 1.286979 2.319468
2025-04-13 0.039620 0.088677 0.183630 0.373370 0.731922 1.363235 2.531826
2025-04-20 0.036295 0.085002 0.182929 0.385358 0.779823 1.493529 2.848067
2025-04-27 0.035828 0.087241 0.194025 0.421223 0.875629 1.716877 3.347359
2025-05-04 0.032943 0.083935 0.193907 0.435799 0.934245 1.881523 3.761893
2025-05-11 0.028728 0.076857 0.184931 0.431226 0.955059 1.978496 4.061702
2025-05-18 0.024377 0.068567 0.171972 0.416263 0.952703 2.030295 4.279546
2025-05-25 0.020375 0.060299 0.157686 0.396217 0.936961 2.053558 4.442823
2025-06-01 0.018888 0.058293 0.157755 0.408662 0.992388 2.224935 4.915664
2025-06-08 0.016092 0.052120 0.146692 0.393424 0.984559 2.264623 5.122823
2025-06-15 0.014860 0.050134 0.145818 0.402567 1.032916 2.426686 5.597236
2025-06-22 0.013650 0.047960 0.144114 0.409384 1.076491 2.582009 6.069589
2025-06-29 0.012114 0.044447 0.138255 0.404756 1.092125 2.676995 6.418841
2025-07-06 0.010790 0.041318 0.132948 0.400822 1.108919 2.775825 6.784203
2025-07-13 0.010168 0.040392 0.133796 0.413622 1.168938 2.978580 7.398225